![]() That puts Buescher's implied odds of topping Bell at just 42.4%. ![]() And with how well they've run at high-speed tracks, how could you not be? With Christopher Bell driving for them while Chris Buescher pilots a Ford, this may seem odd.īut it all comes down to the +136 on Buescher's side. Chris Buescher Over Christopher Bell (+136)Īs evidenced by the love for Reddick, I'm high on Toyota this week. Let's dig into that and other spots where my model is showing value relative to FanDuel Sportsbook's NASCAR betting odds for Las Vegas. Even though I think Toyota's in a great spot to mop up, the odds in a matchup against them are forcing me to re-consider. That's what we get for this week's South Point 400 at Las Vegas. I may not want to bet against someone, but if the market on the opposing side is intriguing enough, it may be +EV to do so. The same applies to fading a driver or team. It's a bummer, but the price is important. You can't get Reddick at longer than +900 at regulated books, and with my win sims pinning him at 9.8% to win, that's not long enough for me. Unfortunately for me, the market loved him, too. I was hoping when I ran my model that I'd be able to bet him. ![]() For NASCAR, you're not betting a driver you're betting a price.įor example, I adore Tyler Reddick this week. One of the most important things in betting is being price sensitive. ![]()
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